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(YES, I am pissing in your cornflakes)
Some things to consider....
When Hackett and LaFluer came in to GB, they went 13-3, but had an expected record of 9-7 or 10-6 based on the metrics. They won several extremely games by just a few points all season long. But the point I wanted to make was that Rodgers actually regressed in his first year learning the Hackett offense...and that regression was on the heals of one of Rodgers worst years to begin with.
Hacketts offense calls for alot of quick 3 step drop and throw on time type stuff. It took Rodgers time to adjust to this. He had averaged well over 2.75 seconds holding the ball, including his first season in Hackett's offense...that dropped to 2.5 in 2020, his second year in Hacketts system...and a year in wich he improved substantially over his previous 3 seasons.
From Rodgers himself -
A specific moment in training camp – a throw, to be exact – might just represent the turning point for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers as they entered Year 2 in Matt LaFleur’s offense.
Asked for reasons behind his MVP-quality play this season, Rodgers pinpointed an on-time throw he made to receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling in August as the moment everything he worked on to prepare for the 2020 season snapped into place.
The end result? A quarterback playing in perfect harmony within an offense, creating a passing game able to thrive on in-rhythm, on-time throws.
“If you look at my play overall, obviously the line has been protecting well, but there have been so many more on-time throws, and a lot of that is due, not just to the schematics we’ve been doing, but to an emphasis on the rhythm in my drop, and finding a place to go with the ball on the first hitch. I think that’s been a big part of my success, our success, the protection’s success,” Rodgers said.
Rodgers became much more of an on time, efficient distributor in 2020...wich is what the LaFluer/Hackett offense was designed to be.
If Hackett's Broncos offense is about these same ideas for Wilson....it isn't going to work. Russ isn't a 3 step drop back and fire QB. Seattle tried to fit him into that mold and it isn't his strong suit. Maybe Russ comes around to it...but it took a while to break Rodgers of his habit of wanting to run around off script. Russ does that alot, and as he has gotten older...his sack % has gone up. In fact...it's gone up every single season he has played including last season when he had a staggering 10.7% sack rate. Only Justin Fields sack rate was worse.
And lastly, the LaFluer/Hackett offense has in the past, called for alot of slants/short stuff over the middle....this is exactly the coldest area of the Wilson spray chart.
It all suggest that this first year of Wilson/Hackett might not be the runaway success that everyone thinks it will be.
I'll take 3 separate 100 dollar bets RIGHT NOW...that Denver misses the playoffs.
Some things to consider....
When Hackett and LaFluer came in to GB, they went 13-3, but had an expected record of 9-7 or 10-6 based on the metrics. They won several extremely games by just a few points all season long. But the point I wanted to make was that Rodgers actually regressed in his first year learning the Hackett offense...and that regression was on the heals of one of Rodgers worst years to begin with.
Hacketts offense calls for alot of quick 3 step drop and throw on time type stuff. It took Rodgers time to adjust to this. He had averaged well over 2.75 seconds holding the ball, including his first season in Hackett's offense...that dropped to 2.5 in 2020, his second year in Hacketts system...and a year in wich he improved substantially over his previous 3 seasons.
From Rodgers himself -
A specific moment in training camp – a throw, to be exact – might just represent the turning point for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers as they entered Year 2 in Matt LaFleur’s offense.
Asked for reasons behind his MVP-quality play this season, Rodgers pinpointed an on-time throw he made to receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling in August as the moment everything he worked on to prepare for the 2020 season snapped into place.
The end result? A quarterback playing in perfect harmony within an offense, creating a passing game able to thrive on in-rhythm, on-time throws.
“If you look at my play overall, obviously the line has been protecting well, but there have been so many more on-time throws, and a lot of that is due, not just to the schematics we’ve been doing, but to an emphasis on the rhythm in my drop, and finding a place to go with the ball on the first hitch. I think that’s been a big part of my success, our success, the protection’s success,” Rodgers said.
Rodgers became much more of an on time, efficient distributor in 2020...wich is what the LaFluer/Hackett offense was designed to be.
If Hackett's Broncos offense is about these same ideas for Wilson....it isn't going to work. Russ isn't a 3 step drop back and fire QB. Seattle tried to fit him into that mold and it isn't his strong suit. Maybe Russ comes around to it...but it took a while to break Rodgers of his habit of wanting to run around off script. Russ does that alot, and as he has gotten older...his sack % has gone up. In fact...it's gone up every single season he has played including last season when he had a staggering 10.7% sack rate. Only Justin Fields sack rate was worse.
And lastly, the LaFluer/Hackett offense has in the past, called for alot of slants/short stuff over the middle....this is exactly the coldest area of the Wilson spray chart.
It all suggest that this first year of Wilson/Hackett might not be the runaway success that everyone thinks it will be.
I'll take 3 separate 100 dollar bets RIGHT NOW...that Denver misses the playoffs.
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