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MLREM 2023 Final Mock Draft Results

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  • MLREM 2023 Final Mock Draft Results

    Alright everyone, your least favourite mock draft scoring system is complete and here's the results:
    Team Drafter Inherent Value Raw Value Accuracy Value Bonus Points UDFA Total
    NE eddie mac 674 686 52 140 176 1729
    NO Old Dude 289 136 100 160 385 1070
    PIT BowlenBall 366 96 124 100 312 998
    SF GordonGekko 381 305 -10 200 20 896
    DET JCMElway/DBroncos4Life 429 172 79 80 97 857
    LAC PRBronco 301 62 100 60 315 838
    NYJ jebures 313 82 124 80 205 804
    NYG -Rod- 389 126 27 100 84 726
    CIN cmhargrove 249 61 124 160 80 675
    BAL IndelibleScribe 220 -88 76 140 239 586
    SEA Broncos23 432 -127 119 160 0 584
    HOU DomCasual 437 -199 63 120 116 537
    DAL lukeb5533 193 24 100 80 105 502
    CAR Ark 263 -189 47 60 313 494
    DEN Carmelo 163 -4 57 120 120 455
    KC Zerovoltz 231 -155 55 100 209 440
    TEN sgbfan 333 -76 100 70 0 427
    BUF gunns 267 -56 70 40 103 424
    LAR codysseus 240 -151 -20 280 0 349
    LV RaiderDave 389 -263 -10 160 60 336
    MIA FloridaBronco 144 67 100 20 0 331
    TB Pewter Pride 194 -114 10 80 126 296
    GB ColoradoBuff 263 -129 37 120 0 290
    JAX Shananahan 223 -127 -10 200 0 286
    MIN Requiem 135 -41 130 40 10 274
    PHI Aztec Bronco 213 -62 -7 60 0 205
    CLE phibacka31 207 -129 -35 160 0 203
    CHI SoDak Bronco 314 -282 60 80 0 172
    IND OBF1 206 -390 27 200 40 83
    ATL Nalenite66 171 -471 -21 60 322 61
    AZ ludo21 215 -401 10 80 39 -57
    WAS Big Cheeze 198 -320 -35 40 0 -117


    To no one's surprise, eddiemac ran away with it. For fun here are some superlative award winners:

    The We Get It You Have Lots of Picks Inherent Value award winner: eddiemac

    The Raw Dog Raw Value award winner: eddiemac

    The I Hate This System **** You MUG I'm Out award (awarded to the player with the most points lost to raw value): NalenIte66

    The Hawk Guy award (highest accuracy score): Requiem or whatever he's called now

    The It's Free Points most points gained from UDFA award winner: Old Dude

    The Maybe Next Year Participate In UDFA award (awarded to the highest score with a 0 for UDFA): Broncos23

    As always, a reminder that I did not invent, nor do I condone this scoring system, I just combed through MUG's old posts to figure it out and reapply it so we have some results to talk about. Looking forward to some good discussion about this and the ODESSA system and hopefully how we can merge them into one awesome system next year.

    I need a break from the computer for a while now but I'll answer any questions as best as I can when I'm back.
    Last edited by PRBronco; 05-04-2023, 11:29 AM.

  • #2
    Some staff changes in the offseason:

    Houston Texans (DomCasual)
    Green Bay Packers (ColoradoBuff)
    New York Giants (-Rod-)
    Buffalo Bills (gunns)
    Atlanta Falcons (Nalenite66)
    Minnesota Vikings (Vera Hara) (a/k/a Req)
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Pewter Pride)
    Las Vegas Raiders (RaiderDave)
    Los Angeles Rams (codysseus)
    Cincinnati Bengals (cmhargrove)

    Comment


    • #3
      I just won myself the Hawk Eye Award for Accuracy. Pretty much like a Nobel Peace Prize. You didn't win anything, Old Dude.

      Comment


      • #4
        Comparisons:
        TEAM/DRAFTER MLREM* score ODESSA score
        New England Patriots (eddiemac87) 1 1729 1 1,012
        New Orleans Saints (Old Dude) 2 1070 2 640
        Pittsburgh Steelers (BowlenBall) 3 998 10 424
        San Francisco 49ers (Gordon Gekko) 4 896 3 571
        Detroit Lions (JCMElway / Dbroncos4life) 5 857 8 471
        Los Angeles Chargers (PRBronco) 6 838 13 403
        New York Jets (jebures) 7 804 18 325
        NY Giants (-Rod-) 8 726 5-6 479
        Cincinnati Bengals (cmhargrove) 9 675 4 506
        Baltimore Ravens (IndelibleScribe) 10 586 19 320
        Seattle Seahawks (Broncos23) 11 584 7 475
        Houston Texans (DomCasual) 12 537 5-6 479
        Dallas Cowboys (lukeb55) 13 502 20 318
        Carolina Panthers (Ark) 14 494 21 282
        Denver Broncos (Carmelo15) 15 455 22 281
        Kansas City Chiefs (Zerovoltz) 16 440 28 203
        Tennessee Titans (SGB) 17 427 14 386
        Buffalo Bills (gunns) 18 424 16-17 333
        Los Angeles Rams (codysseus) 19 349 9 445
        Las Vegas Raiders (RaiderDave) 20 336 11 420
        Miami Dolphins (Florida_Bronco) 21 331 27 240
        Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Pewter Pride) 22 296 25 260
        Green Bay Packers (ColoradoBuff) 23 290 26 256
        Jacksonville Jaguars (Shananahan) 24 286 24 262
        Minnesota Vikings (Vera Hara) 25 274 30 130
        Philadelphia Eagles (Aztec Bronco) 26 205 23 280
        Cleveland Browns (phibacka31) 27 203 12 415
        Chicago Bears (SoDak Bronco) 28 172 16-17 333
        Indianapolis Colts (OBF1) 29 83 15 374
        Atlanta Falcons (Nalenite66) 30 61 31 108
        Arizona Cardinals (Ludo21) 31 -57 32 88
        Washington Commanders (Big Cheese) 32 -157 29 186

        * Official
        Last edited by Old Dude; 05-04-2023, 01:15 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          Old Dude runner-up in both scoring systems. If you ain't first you are last.

          Comment


          • Old Dude
            Old Dude commented
            Editing a comment
            Eddiemac beat us up so bad, there isn't any runnerup.

        • #6
          Originally posted by Old Dude
          Some staff changes in the offseason:

          Houston Texans (DomCasual)
          Green Bay Packers (ColoradoBuff)
          New York Giants (-Rod-)
          Buffalo Bills (gunns)
          Atlanta Falcons (Nalenite66)
          Minnesota Vikings (Vera Hara) (a/k/a Req)
          Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Pewter Pride)
          Las Vegas Raiders (RaiderDave)
          Los Angeles Rams (codysseus)
          Cincinnati Bengals (cmhargrove)
          Oh ffs I didn’t realize my summary page didn’t update the names automatically, my bad. Will fix tomorrow.

          edit: Snuck in the fix, also changed the winner of one of the awards!
          Last edited by PRBronco; 05-03-2023, 05:46 PM.

          Comment


          • #7
            I don't see the problem with the MUG system at all. It's a fine system.

            Comment


            • #8
              I like Odessa more. In that one I beat jebures and Zero. There has to be more accuracy in that one. 😒

              Comment


              • OBF1
                OBF1 commented
                Editing a comment
                I agree, Odessa must be more relevant.

            • #9
              Originally posted by PRBronco
              ...

              As always, a reminder that I did not invent, nor do I condone this scoring system, I just combed through MUG's old posts to figure it out and reapply it so we have some results to talk about. Looking forward to some good discussion about this and the ODESSA system and hopefully how we can merge them into one awesome system next year.

              I need a break from the computer for a while now but I'll answer any questions as best as I can when I'm back.
              One possible synthesis: (a) Adopt Bullseye scoring and "Round Value" from Odessa, (b) Keep raw value bonuses/penalties and UDFA scoring from the old system, (c) Ditch positional accuracy altogether. Plenty of time to talk about all that later. In the meantime, thanks for your hard work!

              Comment


              • PRBronco
                PRBronco commented
                Editing a comment
                Ditto!

              • BowlenBall
                BowlenBall commented
                Editing a comment
                Cosign.

            • #10
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              Alert alert! Rod found an error in NYG's scoring, the spreadsheet didn't capture his raw and inherent value scores for his first rounder. I've corrected it on the table moving him up 78 points and over cmhargrove. I double checked the rest of the teams and they were unaffected.

              Comment


              • Old Dude
                Old Dude commented
                Editing a comment
                corrected on comparison chart as well. both of them did a great job no matter which system was used!

            • #11
              Originally posted by PRBronco
              Alert alert! Rod found an error in NYG's scoring, the spreadsheet didn't capture his raw and inherent value scores for his first rounder. I've corrected it on the table moving him up 78 points and over cmhargrove.

              oh oh

              Comment


              • #12
                Req also won the prestigiously obscure Socal Jeff Luc Award.

                Comment


                • #13
                  Originally posted by Gordon Gekko
                  Req also won the prestigiously obscure Socal Jeff Luc Award.

                  I didn't draft someone in the third-round who went undrafted.

                  Comment


                  • #14
                    All I can say is

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                    • #15
                      Congratulations to official 2023 Orange Huddle mock draft champion eddiemac87, and to unanimous second-team all-american Old Dude!

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                      Also, a bouquet of flowers and an air-kiss to Vera Hara for winning Miss Congeniality for the 15th consecutive year.

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                      Comment


                      • #16
                        Thank you so much.

                        Comment


                        • BowlenBall
                          BowlenBall commented
                          Editing a comment
                          There you go, being congenial again!

                        • Vera Hara
                          Vera Hara commented
                          Editing a comment
                          Thank you sir. I appreciate your hard work with this. Very fun times.

                      • #17
                        Originally posted by Zerovoltz
                        I don't see the problem with the MUG system at all. It's a fine system.
                        It's OK, it just leans too heavily on drafting like the team you are picking for. Even if you draft better than the team overall.
                        We won't know who actually won until 3-4 years from now. If you look at the most frequent "winners" and top 5-10, they don't hold up very well over the long haul. Which is true of the real draft too.

                        Comment


                        • #18
                          Originally posted by Vera Hara

                          I didn't draft someone in the third-round who went undrafted.
                          Nope, you simply traded down in the 1st and managed to land 2 4th round picks 😁
                          In fact, you got less value for trading down to select Ringo than you got for trading up for Ronald Jones.

                          Comment


                          • #19
                            Originally posted by IndelibleScribe

                            It's OK, it just leans too heavily on drafting like the team you are picking for. Even if you draft better than the team overall.
                            We won't know who actually won until 3-4 years from now. If you look at the most frequent "winners" and top 5-10, they don't hold up very well over the long haul. Which is true of the real draft too.
                            My comment was strictly due to the fact I scored way better in the MUG system. I agree with you comments to an extent, but I do like that the idea of this game SHOULD be to try and draft like the team you are drafting for. I had commented earlier that on a couple of my picks I correctly traded up, giving up draft capital and selecting a player who was taken more or less within 10 picks or better, of the spot I traded into. KC made 3 or 4 actual trade ups.....so while I do admire the Eddie Mac multipick extravaganza.....there is maybe a little something to be said for expending some capital, emulating your draft team..and having that play out. And yes..I understand that concept is nearly impossible to score and no one would want to try to produce a formula etc for such a minor piece of hte overall picture.

                            Comment


                            • Old Dude
                              Old Dude commented
                              Editing a comment
                              Nearly half your total under the MUG system was due to UDFA. (209 points). That compared to less than 60 under ODESSA. Add in the fact that people who did not participate in UDFA (or did so in a minimal fashion) all dropped in rankings - some in a very big way - under the traditional system. Not surprising. That's because I deliberately reduced the scoring for UDFA in the ODESSA system. I probably won't do that again.

                          • #20
                            Originally posted by Zerovoltz

                            My comment was strictly due to the fact I scored way better in the MUG system. I agree with you comments to an extent, but I do like that the idea of this game SHOULD be to try and draft like the team you are drafting for. I had commented earlier that on a couple of my picks I correctly traded up, giving up draft capital and selecting a player who was taken more or less within 10 picks or better, of the spot I traded into. KC made 3 or 4 actual trade ups.....so while I do admire the Eddie Mac multipick extravaganza.....there is maybe a little something to be said for expending some capital, emulating your draft team..and having that play out. And yes..I understand that concept is nearly impossible to score and no one would want to try to produce a formula etc for such a minor piece of hte overall picture.
                            The attempt to draft like your team and scoring it is flat out stupid. It was MUG's way of reinforcing his reasoning. He flipped out years ago because the pinch drafter for the Jags chose Scherff when he was all in Parnell and claimed the Jags didn't need a OT as they were already set with Joeckel at LT and that Scherff would be a G and not a top 10 pick.
                            ​Scherff is a better player then the player the Jags actually picked and their OL sucked so they needed the OL boost.

                            He lambasted me for picking Ronnie Stanley for the Ravens because he claimed Jack Conklin was the better prospect, would be the better player overall, would be a great LT and have the better career. The Ravens then selected Ronnie Stanley IRL and proved my point. Conklin has never played LT in the NFL and is not a better player than Stanley.
                            He and I were always at odds because I told him I cared nothing for his scoring system and would always attempt to select the best players and not who I simply felt the Ravens would draft. He would draft for the Bengals and then never understand why they didn't choose certain players when he did a bunch of research on players they had interest in and should fit.

                            It was baked into the scoring to force his vision of the mock draft on others. It's never really worked correctly. It's looks great on paper to win the mock and get a imaginary trophy but overall the winners aren't as good as the lower scored teams.
                            Just score the damn mock. The extra isn't needed. I get that it adds some fun to the end of the mock to add intrigue but it's ultimately useless as ****. Of course, given that it's a fake draft that has no impact IRL the same could be said for it. To me it takes away the fun of if. For others it adds to it and gives bragging rights and probably increases the overall participation.



                            Comment


                            • #21
                              I think the whole exercise is alot of fun....including any and all scoring systems...as far as MUG....i think my very first draft was his last one...and I got into what would be a discourse...not really an argument....about Kyler Murray. I was sure he'd go no.1 overall..way out ahead of that draft and MUG couldn't see it. Too short, already signed millions of dollar contract with the A's....and if the Cards did consider it....it was not worthwhile to think of because they'd taken Rosen one year earlier....and his biggest point.....that the Cardinals shouldn't want a player willing to go back on his word/contract with the A's. ......I think he was trying to hard to argue it from the point of view of what he thought should happen and not so much what was going to happen. ...kind of wish he was still around....arguing is part of the fun.

                              Comment


                              • #22
                                Originally posted by IndelibleScribe

                                The attempt to draft like your team and scoring it is flat out stupid. It was MUG's way of reinforcing his reasoning. He flipped out years ago because the pinch drafter for the Jags chose Scherff when he was all in Parnell and claimed the Jags didn't need a OT as they were already set with Joeckel at LT and that Scherff would be a G and not a top 10 pick....
                                As I wrote months ago:

                                At the outset, I want to recognize a couple of things. First, some people don't really care about the scoring. In real life, the value of a draft class is nearly impossible to judge until years after the fact. Second, the game is fundamentally unfair because some teams start off with much less draft capital than others.

                                Nonetheless, I disagree with a couple of your points. There are dozens, if not hundreds of "mock drafts" every year, and the vast majority of them do, in fact, try to predict what each team will do. For many, that's kind of the essence of doing a mock draft.

                                Second, I could be wrong, because I didn't start participating in this thing until 2015 (the year of the Scherff incident), but I was under the impression that MUGS was scoring mock drafts before that. He must have at least announced it before the 2015 draft because I was aware of the general guidelines when we started that year - before the Scherff selection.

                                For me, the value of the whole process has very little to do with the "game aspects." In the last 20 years, I've watched maybe 9 or 10 college games. So, again, just for me, it's a chance to learn something about the incoming players and how front offices view the process. I really appreciate people's writeups and I wish more of us would do that. If "scoring" motivates that, all the better.

                                As far as the scoring goes, it is "game" all to itself and, as mentioned above, not everyone is into it. That's perfectly fair. Hell, my most accurate picks, (or the ones I got the most "points" for) have almost all been NFL disappointments in real life. My only goal is to make the "scoring" more transparent, consistent and easy to calculate. My biggest gripe about MUGs was when he started changing the scoring after the mock draft was completed. (mostly dealing with UDFA scores.) At best, that made the whole thing just a matter of his opinion. At worst, that's kid stuff.

                                Of course, there's a second type of "bragging right," and that's when we look back at the drafts and see who really got the best players. I suck at that. Always have, probably always will.





                                Comment


                                • #23
                                  A. The whole mock draft is fun because it gets you in touch with team needs, and you also get a good look at all he new talent getting ready to enter the league.
                                  B. Both scoring systems are fun and I thought, interesting perspectives on value.
                                  C. I did try to draft like my team. I'll sill focus on this in the future. Trading down for 20+ picks is definitely a home run in this mock, but not as interesting (to me) as playing GM and really trying to develop a SB roster.
                                  D. I think that lots of the fun here is to look back in years to come and see what we thought of all these guys.

                                  Thanks again, this has been fun.

                                  Comment


                                  • #24
                                    Originally posted by Old Dude

                                    As I wrote months ago:

                                    At the outset, I want to recognize a couple of things. First, some people don't really care about the scoring. In real life, the value of a draft class is nearly impossible to judge until years after the fact. Second, the game is fundamentally unfair because some teams start off with much less draft capital than others.

                                    Nonetheless, I disagree with a couple of your points. There are dozens, if not hundreds of "mock drafts" every year, and the vast majority of them do, in fact, try to predict what each team will do. For many, that's kind of the essence of doing a mock draft.

                                    Second, I could be wrong, because I didn't start participating in this thing until 2015 (the year of the Scherff incident), but I was under the impression that MUGS was scoring mock drafts before that. He must have at least announced it before the 2015 draft because I was aware of the general guidelines when we started that year - before the Scherff selection.

                                    For me, the value of the whole process has very little to do with the "game aspects." In the last 20 years, I've watched maybe 9 or 10 college games. So, again, just for me, it's a chance to learn something about the incoming players and how front offices view the process. I really appreciate people's writeups and I wish more of us would do that. If "scoring" motivates that, all the better.

                                    As far as the scoring goes, it is "game" all to itself and, as mentioned above, not everyone is into it. That's perfectly fair. Hell, my most accurate picks, (or the ones I got the most "points" for) have almost all been NFL disappointments in real life. My only goal is to make the "scoring" more transparent, consistent and easy to calculate. My biggest gripe about MUGs was when he started changing the scoring after the mock draft was completed. (mostly dealing with UDFA scores.) At best, that made the whole thing just a matter of his opinion. At worst, that's kid stuff.

                                    Of course, there's a second type of "bragging right," and that's when we look back at the drafts and see who really got the best players. I suck at that. Always have, probably always will.
                                    And they are usually flat out wrong. Yes you want to address issues with the team but ultimately the goal is the draft as well as possible.
                                    Otherwise it'd be silly to go into the later rounds or UDFA and take a K for instance when the Ravens never would because they have Tucker. Silly to take WR's in certain years when it's clear the Ravens won't IRL. Or like when Aga drafted Trubisky because he fell to the 20's for the value but the real life Niners wouldn't have at the time.

                                    MUG's scoring system was heavily weighted on values he loved. Which is fine, it was his system and he took the time to calculate it up. But 90% of the time he was flat out wrong and he was biased as hell. You've even seen comments by some on the board that he's still mad about the mock he last participated in because it made no sense that the NFL was drafting the way it is.
                                    The NFL always circles back to certain things and people never ****ing listen.

                                    A lot of people don't post writeups in the draft because they do it for fun and don't actually know who they're drafting. They go and read a few publications draft previews or listen to mock draft experts feelings on prospects and go with that because they "trust" them.
                                    And hell, most of them are more accurate guessing than the ones who sit down and try to study film like a actual scout or GM.

                                    That's the entire point, MUG's system was to meet the needs of the way he valued the draft. If you didn't like UDFA and didn't participate then your score suffered. You didn't draft like your team? Your score suffered.

                                    That's the only bragging rights I care about. I get cooked in the mock for taking Joe Mixon and people swear he won't get taken that high IRL, then he not only goes that high but becomes a superstar player. I would rather have drafted Joe Mixon than Tyus Bowser because I knew the Ravens liked him and could potentially take him.
                                    The entire point for me is to draft guys I like, then look back on it 3-4 years from now and see where the hits were, where the misses were and how it stacks up. Will there be years in which I drafted closer to the Ravens style than others? Yes. Last year was a prime example of that.

                                    At the end of the day, it's not that deep for me. Yes I will get up on my soapbox and proclaim this prospect isn't worth this round or etc but it's all in fun.
                                    Even my "rants" are done as more of a schtick than anything else. Except for the holding up the draft process ones, those are real annoyance.
                                    It's fun to debate different draft prospects and utilize varying philosophies to come to your eventual end goal class.

                                    Comment


                                    • #25
                                      Originally posted by cmhargrove
                                      A. The whole mock draft is fun because it gets you in touch with team needs, and you also get a good look at all he new talent getting ready to enter the league.
                                      B. Both scoring systems are fun and I thought, interesting perspectives on value.
                                      C. I did try to draft like my team. I'll sill focus on this in the future. Trading down for 20+ picks is definitely a home run in this mock, but not as interesting (to me) as playing GM and really trying to develop a SB roster.
                                      D. I think that lots of the fun here is to look back in years to come and see what we thought of all these guys.

                                      Thanks again, this has been fun.
                                      I mean, eddie does try to draft like the IRL Pats and he trades down a lot because the Pats do IRL. He's probably the closest GM to his IRL counterpart this draft has. Him and jebures are dedicated to the cause.

                                      Comment

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