Following a very lackluster October,a surprising November, and middling early December, the Broncos are mathematically still vying for a play-off spot. Our Special Teams remains a dumpster fire and our offense looks like it is being run by someone stuck on page 5 of An idiot's guide to NFL Football. But, a stout defense and soft schedule has kept us in the mix with a 7-6 record as of 12/14.
So, I'm looking at our remaining 4 games and trying to determine our likelihood of victory in each match up.
Dec 19 Bengals at Mile High
This is a weird one. If you had asked a month ago, I would have given this one to the Bengals without question. But they are just so inconsistent. I think it is largely the youth of some of their squad. They appear to be on the right path, but it might take a few more seasons for them to completely mature. At any rate, I give us about a 50% chance of winning this match.
Dec 26 Raiders at Las Vegas
The Raiders are reeling from bad break after bad break. Seriously, if they weren't the Raiders, I would feel sorry for the crap they have had to endure this season. But come boxing day, I suspect none of that will matter as Derek Carr and company always find a way to light up Fangio's defenses. This is a game we should win, but our coaching staff is sadly not up to the task. I give it about a 40% chance of victory.
Jan 2 Chargers at Los Angeles
Another strangely inconsistent team. The Chargers always find ways to strangely under-perform the talent they have on both sides of the ball. But, I suspect they may want some payback for screwing up their last game against us. Herbert will likely come out firing. I don't like our odds right now. I put our chances of Victory at 35%.
Jan 9 Chiefs at Mile High
This one depends largely on how the rankings shake out between now and the end of the season. The Chiefs may be resting their starters, or they may be playing for the Number 1 seed position in the play-offs. If it is the former, I give us a 55% chance of victory, if it is the latter, 30% chance.
So, in our remaining 4 games, there is only one I would give us even odds on, and one I would give us advantage on provided our opponent has nothing to play for. So yeah, I would say are play-off chances are probably around 35% right now. Those aren't odds I would bet, but it wouldn't be inconceivable.
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