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  • Zero's predictions for the 2022 NFL Season

    For posterity of course.

    ***Done not knowing the final determination for DeShaun Watson***

    I make a spreadsheet of every game and go through and try and impossibly predict the outcome of every single one. I try and take into account short rest, travel to the east of west coast, etc. It's a fools errand, but it's a good way to guestimate where teams will end up....short of Vegas Odds....which are pretty good and put together by poeple WAY WAY smarter than me.

    Anyhow...here is what I've come up with -

    Playoff teams and seeds

    AFC
    1. KC - Yes, I am biased. I am not telling you the record I came up with....it's NOT undefeated.....and it was tied with what I had for the Chargers. Chiefs win tiebreaker.
    2. Baltimore - All the injuries, combined with a lot of metrics that should regress to the mean in their favor, and I like Baltimore. I think Lamar isn't an elite passer, but better than he gets creidt for.
    3. Buffalo - A really good team, and will be a tough out in the playoffs. They go from playing one of the easiest schedules to one of the top 5 hardest. Their division sucks though, so that helps.
    4. Titans - I actually have them finishing 8-9 and winning the god awful AFC South. Henry is used up and they have no WR's worth a damn..and Tannehill can't carry them.
    5. LA Chargers..lose tie breaker to KC, but finish with strong record. Team benefits from fairly easy schedule.
    6. Bengals - Finish in tie with Ravens for division, but lose tiebreakers. Another tough out for any playoff opponent.
    7. Cleveland Browns - I have them doing well, assuming the suspension is 6 games....and if there is an appeal lawsuit etc...and he plays all year while that plays out...maybe they finish a little higher. I have them in.

    NFC
    1. Green Bay. - STILL in a division that they should handle and the conference isn't better than even last year.
    2. LA Rams - As long as Stafford is healthy....if not, this won't hold.
    3. New Orleans - I think the Saints benefit from the long overdue drop off for Brady, and the Falcons and Panthers being total ass.
    4. PHILLY - Benefit greatly from once again playing the putird NFC East AND playing the AFC South.
    5. San Francisco - This is base on the idea that the roster is stacked...Lance might suck but the roster ought to be strong enough to carry him in games at times this year.
    6. Minnesota - Kirk Cousins....is good enough to lead a team to a WC spot...and they had some bad luck in certain metrics last year. Weak conference and division...the roster isn't bad. This is a playoff team.
    7. Tampa Bay - ....they eek into the final WC spot on the strenght of their good pass rush and favorable schedule. Tom finally begins to look old. Finally. Really.

    I have Denver going 8-9......that could go to as high as 10 as I made the call to have them lose the opener to Seattle....and only winning 2 division games...both against the Raiders...if you could find a win among the 4 games with KC and LAC...and give them the seattle opener...you get to 10. That still leaves Denver just out of the playoffs...I think it will take 11 to get in in the AFC. Or...the other controversial game I have is week 3 SF beating Denver in Denver....SF is a tough D and I don't believe Denver's offense will have gelled yet. You could easily argue that SF will be throwing out Trey Lance in hostile einvironment.

    To get to 11, Denver would need to win games it's supposed to win, steal one from LAC or KC, AND win @Seattle, and at home VS the Niners. That's a tall task. EVEN if they get to 11, I think you are still in a tie breakers situation to see who gets the 7 seed.

    Top 4 draft picks.

    1. NY Jets
    2. Atlanta Falcons
    3. Chicago Bears
    4. Pittsburg Steelers

    I think the Jets continue to have one of the least talented rosters in the NFL and that Zach Wilson is awful. The Bears roster is dreadful, and I am certain they do not believe in Fields. The Steelers play in a rough division and conference and have a bad O line and will be trying to break in a new QB at some point. Better off than the other 3, but still in for a hard time this year.

    Teams that are popular playoff picks that won't make it. - Miami, New England, Indy in the AFC. Miami just gets the bad fortune of being in the tough AFC, NE will be encouraged by Mac Jones development, but they need more talent. The Colts will find that Matt Ryan is out of gas and be dissapointed they couldn't win their bad division. Disappointing NFC team - Arizona...the parts are better than the sum of the team...bad leadership...drama, injuries, suspensions, weird contract clauses...they underwhelm again.

    Teams that will improve quite a bit but aren't there yet. Detroit - quietly is assembling legit talent. They aren't a playoff team, but I have them winning 7 or 8 games. That's a big leap. I also think Jacksonville, can benefit from having an actual professional coach running things. They have a lot of holes but aren't completely void of talent. They could make a little push in that very bad division.

    Coaches to be fired -

    Mike McCarthy
    Ron Rivera
    Matt Rhule
    Arthur Smith
    Coach Bro - Yes, He just signed an extension...

    Some random predictions -

    Von Miller isn't effective in Buffalo.
    Baker Mayfield proves to be a reasonable upgrade at QB and earns a long term extension in Carolina.
    Jimmy G ulitmately ends up in....Tampa.
    Trevor Lawrence starts to remind people why he was the no.1 overall pick in his draft class now that he has a real NFL coach.
    Ryan Tannehill doens't finish the season as the starter in Tennessee
    The Steelers learn that Pickett sucks.
    Drew Lock wins the starting job in Seattle
    Patrick Mahomes throws for 50 Touchdown passes
    Rusell Wilson will be among the 5 most sacked QB's in the leauge.

    Kansas City hosts it's unprecedented 5th straight AFC title game, wich it wins defeating the Buffalo Bills a third consecutive season in the playoffs, and goes on to win the Super Bowl against the Green Bay Packers.
    Last edited by Zerovoltz; 08-25-2022, 10:34 AM. Reason: Changed out 4. Dallas, and switched to PHILLY on 8/23/2022 due to Tyron Smith injury. Was going to be close before that. Now Philly the better squad.

  • #2
    Shit thread

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    • #3
      Holy wall of text Batman!

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      • #4
        Surprised to see that Buffalo’s schedule is actually fairly tough. The early lines have them favored in every single game, including @ Rams, @ KC, @ Cincinnati and @ Baltimore. A little ridiculous.

        If Watson has a 6-game suspension, I don’t think Cleveland gets in. Watson’s first eligible games would be @ Ravens, Bengals, @ Dolphins, @ Bills, Buccaneers. And then two weeks later, @ Bengals, Ravens. I don’t see a rusty Watson carving through all that. And I doubt they are better than 3-3 during the suspension. Denver or Vegas could slip in there as the 7.

        I think the Colts take the division over the Titans.
        Last edited by RockyMountainOyster; 08-06-2022, 08:33 PM.

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        • #5
          You got chargers way too low. They are going to win the west.

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          • #6
            Will one of the mods please move this to the toilet?

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            • #7
              go **** yourself.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by The1percentKid View Post
                You got chargers way too low. They are going to win the west.
                Put the pipe down. That weed is way to strong.

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by quoydogs View Post

                  Put the pipe down. That weed is way to strong.
                  I’ll bet….Barring injuries of course.

                  alot more people put money down on this than you think.

                  https://www.boltsfromtheblue.com/pla...ord-prediction


                  chargers fixed their problem :

                  “The Los Angeles Chargers’ defense faltered down the stretch of their playoff push last season. They allowed 34, 41 and 35 points in three of their final four games.”

                  “That spurred a huge spending spree this offseason.”

                  “With veteran edge-rusher Khalil Mack and cornerback J.C. Jackson entering the fold, the Chargers have a more balanced distribution of talent on their defense than last season. They won’t need to solely rely on superstars Joey Bosa or Derwin James to create turnovers or big plays. The upside of this unit is now as good as any in the league.”



                  Lmao at Bosa James Mack Jackson all on the same defense….
                  Last edited by The1percentKid; 08-06-2022, 01:30 PM.

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                  • #10
                    😂😂😂😂😂

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                    • #11
                      Buffalo will knock the snot out of the dogshit Chiefs.

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                      • #12
                        Broncos Board zero. Take your parent's basement research somewhere else.

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                        • #13
                          Last year, in all seriousness, he predicted KC to go 19-0!

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by The1percentKid View Post

                            I’ll bet….Barring injuries of course.

                            alot more people put money down on this than you think.

                            https://www.boltsfromtheblue.com/pla...ord-prediction


                            chargers fixed their problem :

                            “The Los Angeles Chargers’ defense faltered down the stretch of their playoff push last season. They allowed 34, 41 and 35 points in three of their final four games.”

                            “That spurred a huge spending spree this offseason.”

                            “With veteran edge-rusher Khalil Mack and cornerback J.C. Jackson entering the fold, the Chargers have a more balanced distribution of talent on their defense than last season. They won’t need to solely rely on superstars Joey Bosa or Derwin James to create turnovers or big plays. The upside of this unit is now as good as any in the league.”



                            Lmao at Bosa James Mack Jackson all on the same defense….
                            Agree.

                            Was going to respond to OP in length, but as I kept reading found more and more to respond to. Cleveland in the playoffs for example. IF they have Watson they aren't making the playoffs. That organization is just dumb when it comes to football, except for getting rid of Mayfield who won't do squat in Carolina who should be in the top 4 for the draft. Indy in a division that is still trying to improve and I don't believe the Titans will take it again. Also talks about some teams with average QB's losing because of that without looking at the rest of the team, then says NE is encouraged with Jones but needs more talent. Agree on Detroit and Arizona, and that OP is severely biased. That last paragraph must have been written with Tinkerbell in fantasyland.

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                            • #15
                              The Chargers have a lot of high end talent but some of that foundation is shaky. Derwin is never a safe bet to stay healthy. Mack isn’t the same pass rusher he was a few years ago. Allen is entering his post-prime phase. How does JC adapt to a new system? Can Williams finally prove he can be a consistent top WR? Pretty bad at linebacker. Average overall in the trenches. Right tackle still a tire fire. Not really sold on the coaching staff…

                              They have the highest ceiling in the division but an 8 win season wouldn’t shock me either.

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                              • Old Coyote
                                Old Coyote commented
                                Editing a comment
                                Highest ceiling or lowest floor..? And they are the Chargers. They find ways to shoot their feet.

                            • #16
                              Originally posted by Aztec Bronco View Post
                              The Chargers have a lot of high end talent but some of that foundation is shaky. Derwin is never a safe bet to stay healthy. Mack isn’t the same pass rusher he was a few years ago. Allen is entering his post-prime phase. How does JC adapt to a new system? Can Williams finally prove he can be a consistent top WR? Pretty bad at linebacker. Average overall in the trenches. Right tackle still a tire fire. Not really sold on the coaching staff…

                              They have the highest ceiling in the division but an 8 win season wouldn’t shock me either.
                              I’d rather be in their situation though…8 wins would be a disappointment for them for sure. But they need to stay healthy. Head to head they are better than the chiefs now IMO

                              allen isn’t done yet. On top of that defense there’s this :





                              Herbert is gonna go off

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                              • #17
                                Bring em on.
                                'bought damn time the Broncos will be real contenders again for the division.
                                I don't care about the other teams getting slightly better. We got better by leaps and bounds. And they all have tape from last year, we don't have tape to plan against yet at the most critical position. So I expect the Broncos to sprint out of the gates for a few games before defenses start coming with actual plans.

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                                • #18

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                                  • Old Coyote
                                    Old Coyote commented
                                    Editing a comment
                                    Marino was amazing.
                                    Poor guy should have made it to the SB multiple times. But shit organizations can hold the best back.

                                • #19
                                  Originally posted by The1percentKid View Post

                                  I’d rather be in their situation though…8 wins would be a disappointment for them for sure. But they need to stay healthy. Head to head they are better than the chiefs now IMO

                                  allen isn’t done yet. On top of that defense there’s this :





                                  Herbert is gonna go off
                                  I really like Herbert and yes he could definitely go off. But I believe the difference maker will be the defense which they added some nice quality......and if they stay healthy, as you said. They've been one of the most snake bit teams for the last several years. You'd think something has to change with all that talent.

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                                  • The1percentKid
                                    The1percentKid commented
                                    Editing a comment
                                    Sucks for people in San Diego after they left that.city….405 north isn’t fun.

                                • #20
                                  The Broncos have been able to split the series with the Chargers the last couple of years, even with abysmal QB play. So I am not expecting the Chargers to sweep the Broncos with Wilson. If anything, the QB upgrade might allow the Broncos to split the series with the Chiefs. I fear the Bosa-Mack duo going against our OTs but I think the offense will be fine as long as they have Williams and Gordon making the running game a big threat.

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                                  • #21
                                    Originally posted by cousinal11 View Post
                                    Broncos Board zero. Take your parent's basement research somewhere else.
                                    I put more high quality content on this board than 95% of you

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                                    • #22
                                      AFC West is going to be a dogfight for sure.

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                                      • #23
                                        I think Wilson....like everyone does.....is a huge upgrade at QB. And like many also think...it will take time to GEL with a new offense, new QB, etc.

                                        And like some think....this coaching staff is a whole bunch of guys who are all new to being head coach, OC, DC and so on. The new staff, has to get their sealegs and GEL too.

                                        And last....only a few here also think this roster just isn't that good. I know the Pro Bowl is not a very good indicator of roster talent...it's a popularity contest and all that..and certainly Surtain should have been a pro bowler as a rookie....but you guys I think, over rate your roster. A little homerism is to be expected, but some of you...especially back on the 'mane would portray this team as having the best 52 men assembled, and just needing the 53rd guy to be a good QB. That isn't accurate.

                                        I think the Broncos O line is a problem. Across the board. Wich Boles are you getting? Contract year Pro Bowl Boles that showed up for ONE season....or Boles of 2021, that was alot more like the Boles everyone was accustomed to? Is anyone really sold on the G-C-G combo...I've seen some of you note that Cushenberry finished up on a hight note. I've seen many concerned that Risner has dropped off...I've seen some put faith in Muti...but he's been unhealthy quite a bit...and I know many of you like Minerz. I've seen some praise your current RT Anderson as capable. NONE of that is especially inspiring there and I think Wilson, as he ages now, needs a line in front of him. (why would he bitch about it so much in Seattle if it wasn't important) ....Mind you, Wilson last year...his rushing total was a career low...by more than half his prior low. He can clearly still move, but the legs as a weapon, appear to be mostly done now as far as counting on that to be part of the package. That isn't to say his mobility isn't still a big part of his great passing prowess....it is. He can still move and scramble to make passing plays.

                                        I think the Broncos LB's are the worst of that position grouping in the AFC west. I think Randy Gregory isn't going to live up to his contract and Bradley Chubb is what he is at this point...which is a decent plyaer..not a star, or big difference maker. I don't think the Broncos will generate enough of a pass rush to make up for the JAG LB corps or the ho hum interior D line.

                                        I think I personally, rate the Bronco WR corps lower than most. I've seen the arguments about these guys getting stuck with bad QB's. It doesn't stick. It's not hard to find WR's that put up good numbers with bad QB's....I chuckle a bit when I see tweets about what great deals Denver got signing Sutton and Patrick to their "cheap" deals. ....you didn't get deals. You got the going rate for decent, but not great WR's.

                                        The Secondary is very good, and the RB combo is high end.

                                        I also think it's a mistake to overate the Broncos D in that Fangio did a couple things that made them look better than they were. Denver was thrid best in the leauge in NOT turning the ball over. A few of those were extremely bad times in games, but overall, Denver was great at ball security. .....and it's hard to believe, but Denver was 3rd in the NFL in drive time average....meaning, whilst they were not productive scoring at all, they held the ball and ran alot of clock when they did have it. Denver was actually 11th Overall in TOP. ....where it really shows up is if you compare Denver to Seattle in Yards per play. Denver gave up 5.3. Seattle gave up.........................5.4 One of those defenses was on the field ALOT MORE than the other. I'll let you guess which one was out there more often.

                                        Fangio took a bunch of midling guys and did a GREAT job of playing a bunch of shell/zone looks, limiting their exposure by running clock and having an offense that didn't turn the ball over. It didn't work out ultimately because the offense was inneficient and couldn't score. He wasn't an idiot. He did what he could with the talent he had.

                                        If you look at KC VS Denver D...on average per play basis..KC was as good or better, but had WAY more plays on the field overall due to the nature of hte offense KC runs.

                                        I suspect with Wilson, and Hackett, Denver is going to open things up more. The Broncos D was a much bigger product of limiting exposure, and not so much a product of high end talent. That's going to be more evident if Denver's offense if more wide open, passes more and runs less clock.

                                        To me, Wilson makes this very Average to below average roster....a fringe playoff contender, in a conference that is LOADED.

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                                      • #24
                                        Originally posted by The1percentKid View Post
                                        You got chargers way too low. They are going to win the west.
                                        Well, you certainly have something in common with the talking heads. They’ve crowned the Chargers offseason champs for the last decade. 🤣
                                        Last edited by RockyMountainOyster; 08-06-2022, 09:09 PM.

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                                        • #25
                                          Originally posted by gunns View Post

                                          Agree.

                                          Was going to respond to OP in length, but as I kept reading found more and more to respond to. Cleveland in the playoffs for example. IF they have Watson they aren't making the playoffs. That organization is just dumb when it comes to football, except for getting rid of Mayfield who won't do squat in Carolina who should be in the top 4 for the draft. Indy in a division that is still trying to improve and I don't believe the Titans will take it again. Also talks about some teams with average QB's losing because of that without looking at the rest of the team, then says NE is encouraged with Jones but needs more talent. Agree on Detroit and Arizona, and that OP is severely biased. That last paragraph must have been written with Tinkerbell in fantasyland.
                                          Obviously there’s bias involved, but fantasyland? Literally no one will be surprised if KC beats Buffalo for the 4th time in 5 games and goes on to win the SB.

                                          KC’s fairly young and has some question marks, but this is probably the most talented roster they’ve fielded yet.

                                          RB might be their biggest weakness, yet they’re likely going to cut a solid back like Ronald Jones.

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